Fifteen years ago, a renowned venture capitalist made what turned out to be a billion-dollar oversight by passing on Airbnb. Here's how it unfolded and what we can learn from it.
Back in 2009, Airbnb had just earned a spot in Y Combinator (YC), but the startup was facing an uphill battle. Their growth was sluggish, and finding investors who believed in their vision was proving to be difficult.
Enter Paul Graham, co-founder of YC, who saw something special in Airbnb. He was convinced of their potential and decided to introduce them to Fred Wilson at Union Square Ventures, an investor known for backing successful companies like Twitter, Tumblr, and Etsy.
But when the pitch landed on Fred's desk, he passed.
Why turn down Airbnb?
The idea just didn’t resonate. Fred later explained: “We couldn’t wrap our heads around air mattresses on living room floors as the next hotel room.” The concept seemed too unconventional and didn’t fit into the established mold of the hospitality industry.
Years later, Fred reflected on that decision: “We made the classic mistake that all investors make. We focused too much on what they were doing at the time and not enough on what they could do, would do, and did do.”
Today, Airbnb is a household name with a valuation soaring to $73 billion, revolutionizing the way we think about travel and accommodations. What seemed like a quirky idea of renting out air mattresses has grown into a global business offering unique lodging experiences in almost every corner of the world.
The takeaway from this story is a powerful reminder for investors and entrepreneurs alike: Early-stage investing isn’t just about the idea—it’s about betting on people, their vision, and the possibilities of what they can achieve. Sometimes, the greatest opportunities lie beyond the limitations of what we can see right now.
Would you have taken the leap on Airbnb back then, or would you have missed out too?