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Fireheads

Public β€’ 167 β€’ Free

We’re financial freedom seekers who love lazy portfolios and FIRE β€” Financial Independence Retire Early

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26 contributions to Fireheads
"Boring" makes money
I wrote a shortΒ introduction to dollar-cost averaging and investingΒ for complete beginners. Still, it holds some critical points about risk management and the actual benefits of DCA that people often miss. Share it with somebody who started on the market or has lost conviction. The market is truly amazing β€” DCA into popular assets in the last 4 years gave nothing but spectacular results: Gold +35% S&P500 +41% Nasdaq 100 +51% Bitcoin +202% It's much better to look at DCA profits than a lump sum because this is what most of us do: invest a small amount from every paycheck. Most people DCA because they don't have a choice. You can only do it smart and follow a regular schedule, or… try to time the market and harm your results long-term. I wish you this week to be πŸ”₯
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New comment 5d ago
0 likes β€’ 5d
@Agape Agape This has only a short-term effect. For example: If you assume that the price goes up long-term, of course, it's better to buy earlier than later, so the first day of the month will be the best, but… That's ONLY because we started counting on the first day of the month. We could start counting a day before on the last day of the previous month when the price was even lower. Even if the price is always lower on Monday than Wednesday, the previous Wednesday will be even better. If you invest for a year or more, it becomes irrelevant at what day you buy.
ETF for FIRE
Hey, Fireheads! Guillem and I are still in the trenches, but things are already happening here and there. If you visit the new Deltabadger website, you will see how dollar-cost averaging into different asset classes for the last 4-years worked (It's updated daily): - Unsurprisingly, Bitcoin beats everything, including Ethereum (more than 2X!). - However, another less understood fact: NASDAQ-100 beats S&P500 β€” here are my thoughts: 1. Even if you buy some broader market ETFs, most of their growth is delivered by huge companies from the top. It's true for any broad market fund. 2. Nasdaq-100 (ETFs like QQQ track) is more focused on the "top," and the tech sector since NASDAQ is more tech-oriented than NYSE. 3. I firmly believe that the 100 biggest companies are enough diversification, and you don't sacrifice anything by focusing on the biggest winners. 4. I argue that those biggest companies will capture an even more significant part of the market in the coming decade. Why? Because they deliver tools without which no other business is possible: AI and robots. I don't see a scenario where "small-caps" are growing, but Microsoft is struggling because a small business cannot operate without AI, and smaller companies cannot do AI well. What does it mean for you? Complement or replace the S&P 500 with the NASDAQ 100. Many already know QQQ, but few are aware of an even cheaper alternative, QQQM, that, thanks to a lower expense ratio (0.15% vs. 0.2%), is even a better choice for long-term investors. In the last decade, the NASDAQ-100 has grown, on average, 19% a year. This is significantly better than the S&P 500, and if you wonder what it means for you long-term, try our Coast FIRE Calculator. While not everybody is comfortable with holding a lot of Bitcoin β€” QQQM may be your next best bet in the long-term portfolio, and at the same time, it's not advice you hear very often. I believe that with high probability, it will become common sense in the next decade.
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New comment 10d ago
ETF for FIRE
1 like β€’ 10d
@Manu J Exactly, this what I recommended to my friend recently. The expense ratio is a bit higher though (0.3%), so if you can access QQQM β€” I would go for it, especially that 1 stock is less than half of the price, so you have also more of a flexibility with the amount.
1 like β€’ 10d
@Nick M I have to dig into that, but data is not available on TradingView or in APIs we subscribe do I can't do analysis quickly. What is always a question with managed strategies is how they'll do in the future. With passive strategies like indexing, dollar-cost averaging, portfolio rebalancing β€”Β they're maintaining roughly the same behaviour comparing to the benchmark, so it's a bit easier to plan based on the past performance.
We're building 🚧
Good evening, Fireheads! Guillem and I are both building tonight, so no call. See you next Wednesday. *We're working hard to bring great new things for you, stay tuned.
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We're building 🚧
Introduce yourself πŸ‘‹
1. Where are you from? 2. What do you do for fun? 3. Share a book or a movie you recommend.
Complete action
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New comment 19d ago
0 likes β€’ 21d
@X N BTC can be part of it for sure! Welcome in the community.
1 like β€’ 19d
Healthy food is the best long-term investment.
Bonfire Meetup #5
See you in an hour!
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New comment 21d ago
Bonfire Meetup #5
0 likes β€’ Nov 14
@Ralf Obendorfer You know that in reality, it's the opposite, and only young people can afford "crazy" πŸ˜…
0 likes β€’ 21d
@B Lithic Join us this Wednesday!
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Jan Klosowski
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@jan-klosowski-9554
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Active 9h ago
Joined Sep 29, 2024
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