Jun 14 in General discussion
PLAYER ANALYSIS
The curious case of Christopher Morel. He projects as a stat cast darling. He lights up the top of the league with Exit Velocities, Bat speed and barrel rates. Why has he struggled so much to create consistency this year?
Let's break down what he has done well and what has held him back.
He ranks near the top of the league in Exit Velocities, Bat Speed, and Barrels. This means he is doing a great job of creating hard hit baseballs and as we know, this means that harder you hit the ball, the more often, the better chance you have of landing hits, especially extra base hits. He also is walking at a great rate of over 12%. He is chasing at a 24.7% clip which is below league average, so he is not beating himself.
Some of what has happened to him is a bout of bad luck. He is underperforming as compared to all his expected statistics. His expected BA is .267 and his expected slugging is .502, while his actual BA is .209 and slugging is .400.
If he is doing all this well, what is holding him back. Upon first glance his launch angle seems to be good, but when you look at his LA sweet spot he ranks in the 10th percentile at 28%. This means he either hits the ball on the ground or way up in the air. His line drive percentage at 18% which is well below league average.
The other thing that he could improve on is his whiff rate, while he has a pretty good handle on the strike zone he is whiffing at a rough rate. He is in the 20th percentile whiffing at almost 30%.
Upon looking at his metrics, if he could shorten his swing without sacrificing bat speed and stay on plane longer, he could help improve both of those metrics.
Either way, Christopher Morel is an incredible talent and has all the tools to become an elite offensive player.
Data Procured from Major League Baseball (MLB) baseball savant
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PLAYER ANALYSIS
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